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Watchlist · Not Owned

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM)

$404.25 +0.23% · Prices as of July 31, 2026 close · not a position, not a recommendation

Compare vs. competitors: Taiwan Semiconductor vs. Intel Foundry →

Download full 3-statement model (.xlsx) →

Market cap$1.99T
P/E ratio (TTM)39.3 (trailing 33.33, forward 22.77)
EPS (implied, price ÷ P/E)~$11.12
Dividend yield0.81%
SectorSemiconductor foundry
EBITDAEarnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization — a measure of operating profitability before financing and accounting decisions. EV/EBITDA compares a company's full value (including debt) to this figure, often used to compare companies with different capital structures.EV/EBITDA 18.02x (5yr EBITDA growth 23.4%)
PEG ratioPrice/Earnings-to-Growth: the P/E ratio divided by expected earnings growth. Below 1.0 is often read as cheap relative to growth; above suggests the market is pricing in a lot of future growth already. Different providers use different growth-rate assumptions, so figures vary by source.1.55
Capex$40.41B (TTM)

Fundamentals sourced as cited below; figures vary slightly by provider and reporting date, consistent with real-world data variance across sources. EBITDA, PEG ratio, and capex sourced from public filings and financial-data aggregators (GuruFocus, StockAnalysis, company earnings releases). PEG ratio is sourced primarily from GuruFocus where available; different providers calculate PEG using different growth-rate assumptions (trailing vs. forward, 1-year vs. 5-year), so figures from other sources for the same stock can vary by several multiples — a known limitation of PEG as a metric, not unique to any name here.

Why it's on the list

Nearly every advanced chip in this book — NVIDIA's GPUs, AMD's data-center silicon, Apple's chips that Intel is now also chasing — is manufactured at TSMC or depends on TSMC-adjacent capacity. It's a way to own the AI-infrastructure buildout without betting on any single chip designer winning the architecture race.

Why it's not in the book yet

Geopolitical risk around Taiwan is real and not something I can size away — it's a structural risk sitting underneath the whole position, not a normal business risk. I've been sitting with that rather than dismissing it.

What would move me to buy

A sizing framework I'm comfortable with for the geopolitical tail risk specifically, separate from the normal position-cap math in the IPS.

Sources: investing.com, fullratio.com, gurufocus.com, stockanalysis.com (P/E, EPS as of July 6, 2026). This is a watchlist entry, not a position — see Watchlist for the full list and Investment Policy Statement for what it takes for a name to become a real position. Not investment advice.