Market snapshot, not real-time
S&P 500 (SPY) $748.62 +0.88% Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) $708.90 +1.85% Dow (DIA) $522.55 +0.89% Russell 2000 (IWM) $295.82 +1.20% 10-Year Treasury (IEF) $93.32 −0.23% Crude Oil (USO) $128.37 +2.28% Gold (GLD) $373.85 +1.70% US Dollar Index (UUP) $28.45 +0.23% Volatility (VXX) $21.29 −3.77% Semiconductors (SMH) $583.24 +4.37% Silver (SLV) $53.36 +4.67% Emerging Markets (EEM) $65.45 +2.97% Bitcoin (BTC) $66,470.13 +1.90% Ethereum (ETH) $1,922.88 +1.00% S&P 500 (SPY) $748.62 +0.88% Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) $708.90 +1.85% Dow (DIA) $522.55 +0.89% Russell 2000 (IWM) $295.82 +1.20% 10-Year Treasury (IEF) $93.32 −0.23% Crude Oil (USO) $128.37 +2.28% Gold (GLD) $373.85 +1.70% US Dollar Index (UUP) $28.45 +0.23% Volatility (VXX) $21.29 −3.77% Semiconductors (SMH) $583.24 +4.37% Silver (SLV) $53.36 +4.67% Emerging Markets (EEM) $65.45 +2.97% Bitcoin (BTC) $66,470.13 +1.90% Ethereum (ETH) $1,922.88 +1.00%

Current Positioning

Holdings

Portfolio composition as of the July 2026 letter. Click any ticker for valuation and a bull / base / bear case.

Data verified: July 31, 2026

Download Portfolio Monitoring & Returns (.xlsx) →

Download the full Portfolio & Watchlist Research Report (.docx) → Download the Sector Landscape Overview (.docx) →

View the Performance Tracker: real daily return vs. SPY / QQQ / IWM →

New: the Coverage Book

Every position below now has an initiating-coverage one-pager — business description, thesis, bull/base/bear cases, key risks, catalysts, and a valuation snapshot, filterable by IPS bucket. Open the Coverage Book →

The comps workbook groups all 41 operating companies across the book and watchlist into 9 sector peer groups (EV/EBITDA, P/E, PEG, margins) sourced from stockanalysis.com / S&P Global Market Intelligence as of July 13–14, 2026 — see the workbook's own Methodology tab for sourcing and limitations. Every position and watchlist page below also links its own real 3-statement model (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, 5-year projection) where one exists; index funds (SPY, VOO, QQQ, SCHD), the leveraged NBIL ETF, and privately-held SPCX have no comparable fundamentals to model.

10Sectors Represented
32Positions
−0.22%Today
+72.14%All-time

Exposure Dashboard

Aggregate sector risk, at a glance — the donut below and the exposure bars further down show the same 32 positions two ways. The point is an integrated view of the book: diversification by ticker is not necessarily diversification by economic driver.

Semiconductors: 28.50% Index Funds: 19.87% Software & Cybersecurity: 13.07% Communication Services: 12.62% Industrials: 7.97% Consumer: 7.59% Power & Utilities: 4.24% AI / Cloud Infrastructure: 3.50% Leveraged Derivative: 2.06% Healthcare Technology: 0.57%
Semiconductors 28.50%
Index Funds 19.87%
Software & Cybersecurity 13.07%
Communication Services 12.62%
Industrials 7.97%
Consumer 7.59%
Power & Utilities 4.24%
AI / Cloud Infrastructure 3.50%
Leveraged Derivative 2.06%
Healthcare Technology 0.57%
1.79Portfolio BetaBeta measures how much a portfolio has historically moved relative to a benchmark (here, SPY). A beta of 1.79 means the book has moved roughly 1.79x as much as SPY, in both directions, over the trailing regression window. vs. SPY
28.50%Largest Single Sector
59.93%Core A Bucket is a category of the portfolio with its own sizing rules — Core, Emerging Growth, Speculative Sleeve, Leveraged/Derivative, or Index Hedge. Every position belongs to exactly one. Full definitions on the Policy page. Bucket Weight
0.24%Weighted Dividend YieldAnnual dividend payments divided by share price, weighted by each position's allocation. Growth companies reinvesting profits instead of paying dividends often show 0.00% — that's not automatically a bad sign.

In plain terms, a beta of 1.79 means that over the trailing regression window, this book has historically moved roughly 1.79x as much as SPY in both directions — up more on a good day, down more on a bad one. It's a measure of historical volatility relative to the market, not a prediction of future returns; full methodology below.

Days to Liquidate Book 100% within 1 trading session All 32 positions are liquid, publicly traded U.S. securities — no private holdings, no lockups.
Dry Powder Reserve 0.00% Fully invested per policy — the Investment Policy Statement's ballast is the index-hedge sleeve, not idle cash.
Herfindahl-Hirschman IndexA standard concentration measure: the sum of each holding's weight squared (in percentage points), scaled 0–10,000. Below ~1,500 is conventionally read as unconcentrated, 1,500–2,500 as moderate, above 2,500 as highly concentrated — thresholds borrowed from antitrust market-share analysis, applied here to position sizing. 493 Unconcentrated by single-position sizing — no name is large enough on its own to dominate the HHI math, even though SNDK at 7.94% is the single biggest line. This measures single-position concentration only; it does not capture the semiconductor/AI-infrastructure theme running across many of these names at once, which the correlation matrix below addresses directly.
Effective Number of Positions ~20 of 32 10,000 ÷ HHI. In risk terms, this book's single-name concentration behaves like an equally-weighted ~20-position portfolio, not a true 32-way split — a way of stating the same HHI number in a more intuitive unit.

Factor tilt

What kind of book this actually is, stated in numbers rather than adjectives — see the Investment Policy Statement for the reasoning behind leaning this way.

57.2%Book in GAAP-Profitable Names
121.7xWeighted P/E, Profitable Subset
21.9%Book in Pre-Profit / Growth-Stage Names
20.9%Book in Index Funds (No Single-Name P/E)

"GAAP-profitable" and "pre-profit" are read directly off each position's own Fundamentals table (a blank or "N/A — unprofitable" P/E line counts as pre-profit; a real trailing P/E counts as profitable). The 121.7x weighted P/E is computed only across the profitable 57.2% of the book — blending in the pre-profit names would require either excluding them (which is what's done here) or assigning them an arbitrary placeholder multiple, and a made-up number is worse than an honest gap. Read together with the 0.24% weighted dividend yield above, the picture is a book built for capital appreciation from companies still reinvesting rather than paying out, not an income portfolio.

Semiconductors
28.50%
Index Funds
19.87%
Software & Cybersecurity
13.07%
Communication Services
12.62%
Industrials
7.97%
Consumer
7.59%
Power & Utilities
4.24%
AI / Cloud Infrastructure
3.50%
Leveraged Derivative
2.06%
Healthcare Technology
0.57%

Sector groupings are mine, not an official GICS classification — see the By sector section below for the full methodology note. Portfolio Beta methodology: weekly closing prices for all 32 positions, pulled via Massive Market Data from January 2025 through July 2026 (up to 80 weekly observations per name, fewer for names with shorter trading histories — SPCX, NBIL, WYFI, and CRWV all IPO'd or launched after that window opened). Each position's individual beta is a population-covariance regression of its weekly returns against SPY's weekly returns over the same overlapping period; the 1.79 figure above is those 32 individual betas weighted by current allocation %. A beta above 1.0 means the book has historically moved further than SPY in both directions — consistent with a portfolio concentrated in semiconductors and leveraged/early-stage growth names. This is a trailing, not predictive, figure, and a single regression window is a limited sample; it will be recomputed periodically rather than treated as a fixed constant.

Macro Stress-Test

How the book is actually positioned under four scenarios — including the ones it's genuinely exposed to. This isn't a claim that every scenario is defended; the point is naming the real vulnerability alongside the real mitigant, not just the parts that sound good.

Current positioning, no shock assumed

32 positions across 10 sectors, 59.9% Core bucket, 19.9% index-hedge ballast (SPY, VOO, QQQ, SCHD), 2.1% leveraged sleeve (NBIL, capped at 5%). The single largest structural fact about this book: 28.50% direct semiconductor exposure, which is the lens every other scenario below runs through.

Fully invested, no cash cushion

A genuine, largely undefended vulnerability

This book is growth-multiple-heavy — semiconductors and AI-infrastructure names priced on future earnings, which compress hardest when discount rates rise. There is no dedicated inflation hedge here (no TIPS, no commodities sleeve, no floating-rate exposure). The honest mitigants are partial at best: the index-hedge sleeve (19.87%) is broad-market ballast, not inflation-specific, and EL's prestige-brand pricing power is a real but small offset at 4.94% of the book.

Structurally exposed — multiple compression risk

The best-defended scenario in the book

Every position is a liquid, publicly traded security — no private equity, no illiquid credit, no lockups. The leveraged sleeve (NBIL) is capped at 5% and currently sits at 2.1%, well under that limit, which specifically limits forced-selling risk in a liquidity event. A genuinely broad, real drawdown would still hurt — beta of 1.79 means this book falls harder than SPY — but exiting any position doesn't face the structural friction an illiquid holding would.

100% liquid, publicly traded positionsLeveraged sleeve capped and under-limit

The single largest concentrated risk in the book

28.50% of the book sits in semiconductors (SNDK, AMD, MU, INTC, AVGO, ARM), several of which depend on Taiwan-based or Taiwan-adjacent fabrication capacity for leading-edge nodes. This is not a scenario the book is well-defended against — a real supply disruption would hit this sleeve hard and fast. The one partial, real mitigant: Intel's foundry turnaround thesis is specifically a bet on reshoring U.S.-based leading-edge manufacturing, which is a different risk profile than fabless competitors entirely dependent on offshore capacity — but Intel is 4.13% of the book, nowhere near large enough to offset the sleeve's overall exposure.

Largest single concentrated risk — 28.50% of book

Holdings verified

Positions are independently verified through Blossom. Dollar values, average cost, and returns below are all real.

Verified via Blossom · Benchmark: SPY See the Compliance Ledger for every IPS cap checked against these numbers, live.

Portfolio composition

The Interactive Holdings Matrix below is the primary record: every position, its sector, live allocation weight, average cost per share, return, my own conviction rating, and compliance status. Click any column header to sort.

Click any column header to sort.

Ticker Position Sector Allocation % Avg. Cost Return Conviction Status
SNDKSandisk CorpSemiconductors7.94%$483.21+151.41%MediumUnder Review
METAMeta PlatformsCommunication Services8.42%$234.32+137.59%HighActive
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemiconductors7.78%$199.34+138.86%MediumActive
SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETFIndex Funds7.32%$655.24+14.01%HighActive
VOOVanguard S&P 500 ETFIndex Funds6.73%$580.93+18.20%HighActive
MUMicron TechnologySemiconductors5.38%$325.83+152.59%MediumActive
PANWPalo Alto NetworksSoftware & Cybersecurity5.42%$160.32+106.98%HighActive
INTCIntel CorporationSemiconductors4.13%$37.43+140.98%MediumActive
ELEstée Lauder CompaniesConsumer4.94%$69.12+21.38%MediumActive
QQQInvesco QQQ TrustIndex Funds4.50%$558.28+23.23%HighActive
SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies (SpaceX)Industrials2.83%$135.00−19.73%LowActive
TLNTalen Energy CorporationPower & Utilities3.28%$314.57+6.21%MediumActive
GOOGLAlphabet IncCommunication Services3.49%$274.57+29.70%HighActive
NBILGraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETFLeveraged Derivative2.06%$9.23+128.17%LowActive
VRTVertiv Holdings CoIndustrials2.37%$304.90−20.77%MediumActive
DDOGDatadog IncSoftware & Cybersecurity2.63%$119.27+124.68%HighActive
NOWServiceNow IncSoftware & Cybersecurity2.18%$84.76+31.23%HighActive
CAKEThe Cheesecake FactoryConsumer2.65%$45.40+123.39%LowActive
ARMArm Holdings plcSemiconductors1.57%$207.83+15.33%MediumActive
AVGOBroadcom IncSemiconductors1.70%$293.47+32.65%HighActive
WYFIWhiteFiber IncAI / Cloud Infrastructure1.08%$13.33+77.79%LowActive
FTNTFortinet IncSoftware & Cybersecurity1.59%$84.30+92.11%HighActive
CRWVCoreWeave IncAI / Cloud Infrastructure1.17%$82.94−13.47%LowActive
NBISNebius Group N.V.AI / Cloud Infrastructure1.24%$90.12+111.28%MediumActive
SCHDSchwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETFIndex Funds1.31%$32.24+3.82%HighActive
CRWDCrowdStrike HoldingsSoftware & Cybersecurity1.25%$94.76+101.41%HighActive
AALAmerican Airlines GroupIndustrials1.15%$10.18+50.00%LowActive
VSTVistra CorpPower & Utilities0.97%$134.71+10.01%MediumActive
SYMSymbotic IncIndustrials0.98%$38.55+11.67%LowActive
RKLBRocket Lab USAIndustrials0.64%$78.59−17.36%LowActive
TEMTempus AI IncHealthcare Technology0.57%$49.73−11.78%LowActive
NFLXNetflix IncCommunication Services0.70%$79.23−9.49%MediumActive

Allocation and return per Blossom, current as of the July 2026 letter; average cost is the per-share price basis for the position. Conviction is my own subjective rating (High / Medium / Low) reflecting thesis confidence, not a statistical output — see methodology below. Status flags any position outside its IPS cap; see the Compliance Ledger. For the full risk writeup on SNDK specifically, read Portfolio Composition & Ongoing Risks.

How Conviction is scored

High / Medium / Low, assigned by hand for every position, not derived from a formula. High means an established competitive position, a thesis with limited near-term uncertainty, or (for index funds) a structural always-held hedge. Medium means a real, reasoned thesis with a specific identified risk that could compress the multiple or slow growth — cyclicality, execution risk, or valuation stretch. Low means a newer, smaller, or speculative-sleeve position where the thesis is real but genuinely less certain. This is a judgment call, stated plainly as one.

By sector

The same 32 positions, grouped by sector rather than bucket — the lens the Exposure Dashboard's donut chart above already uses, restated here as bars next to the holdings table for a direct read.

Semiconductors
28.50%
Index Funds
19.87%
Software & Cybersecurity
13.07%
Communication Services
12.62%
Industrials
7.97%
Consumer
7.59%
Power & Utilities
4.24%
AI / Cloud Infrastructure
3.50%
Leveraged Derivative
2.06%
Healthcare Technology
0.57%

Sector groupings are mine, built from each position's own fundamentals page — not an official GICS classification, since I don't have a licensed data feed for that. "Software & cybersecurity" and "AI / cloud infrastructure" are drawn as separate slices from "Semiconductors" here even though all three lean on the same AI-infrastructure theme discussed in the July letter — see the correlation matrix below for how correlated they actually are day to day.

Return contribution

Not every position that's up a lot has actually moved the book — a small position with a huge return contributes less than a large position with a modest one. This ranks each holding by today's weight × its total return, the top 10 contributors to where the book stands overall.

SNDK
+22.27pp
AMD
+14.73pp
META
+14.67pp
MU
+11.24pp
INTC
+7.54pp
NBIL
+6.65pp
PANW
+5.51pp
DDOG
+2.35pp
NBIS
+1.86pp
CAKE
+1.84pp

Contribution = current allocation % × total return since cost, in percentage points. This is a simplified attribution using today's weights, not a precise time-weighted decomposition — weights shift as positions compound, so this ranking will not sum exactly to the account's own +72.14% all-time dollar-weighted return; treat it as "which positions are doing the heavy lifting right now," not a reconciled performance bridge. SNDK alone accounts for roughly a fifth of the book's gross unrealized gain despite being under 10% of current weight — a concrete illustration of why its position size gets so much scrutiny elsewhere on this page.

Dividend & income

This book is built for growth, not income, but it's worth reporting honestly: the weighted-average dividend yield across the 87.57% of the book with a verified yield figure is 0.24%. SPY and VOO are excluded from that figure — Blossom shows a fundamentals table for neither on this site yet, and I'd rather leave them out than guess. The real income here is concentrated in a handful of positions: SCHD (3.25%), CAKE (1.51%), EL (1.70%), and AVGO (0.69%) do almost all of the work; the AI-infrastructure and semiconductor growth names pay nothing.

Correlation matrix

The July letter argues that much of this book leans on one macro bet — AI infrastructure, semiconductors, and power — and that if the theme cools, many positions fall together. Here's that argument made checkable: real pairwise correlation of daily returns (year-to-date) across every position except SPCX, which has too little trading history to compute a meaningful number yet. Darker cells mean two positions have moved together more closely; lighter cells mean they've moved more independently.

SNDKAMDMUINTCAVGOARMPANWFTNTCRWDNBISNBILCRWVWYFIDDOGNOWGOOGLTLNVSTVRTRKLBMETAELCAKEAALNFLXSYMTEMSPYVOOQQQSCHD
SNDK1.000.250.720.390.170.07-0.030.020.060.360.360.350.120.010.020.010.070.020.090.230.030.250.100.08-0.190.08-0.090.430.430.11-0.10
AMD0.251.000.530.360.090.13-0.02-0.07-0.020.370.370.420.09-0.070.07-0.05-0.030.130.020.420.180.160.370.06-0.030.300.220.470.470.13-0.09
MU0.720.531.000.44-0.070.17-0.120.01-0.080.580.580.500.17-0.09-0.03-0.080.070.04-0.060.420.220.330.190.18-0.180.200.030.640.640.05-0.10
INTC0.390.360.441.000.020.140.140.110.210.330.340.340.260.150.35-0.150.000.040.070.130.100.220.020.04-0.060.210.110.520.520.09-0.08
AVGO0.170.09-0.070.021.000.440.300.160.36-0.13-0.120.070.040.230.080.170.270.270.55-0.29-0.160.010.070.160.000.010.21-0.13-0.130.68-0.18
ARM0.070.130.170.140.441.000.150.090.160.170.170.24-0.060.06-0.01-0.020.500.330.42-0.12-0.000.170.020.31-0.090.080.050.140.130.540.09
PANW-0.03-0.02-0.120.140.300.151.000.720.88-0.06-0.060.000.060.670.570.14-0.07-0.010.05-0.26-0.22-0.23-0.160.02-0.000.120.16-0.01-0.020.39-0.13
FTNT0.02-0.070.010.110.160.090.721.000.710.100.100.080.080.820.46-0.00-0.08-0.09-0.05-0.17-0.17-0.24-0.140.090.050.04-0.000.010.020.28-0.05
CRWD0.06-0.02-0.080.210.360.160.880.711.000.000.010.030.090.750.680.040.020.090.05-0.31-0.13-0.18-0.17-0.020.020.060.190.070.070.36-0.22
NBIS0.360.370.580.33-0.130.17-0.060.100.001.001.000.790.30-0.07-0.08-0.160.020.06-0.090.370.170.030.060.16-0.100.36-0.020.560.56-0.050.11
NBIL0.360.370.580.34-0.120.17-0.060.100.011.001.000.790.31-0.07-0.08-0.150.020.06-0.090.360.170.030.060.16-0.100.36-0.010.560.56-0.040.11
CRWV0.350.420.500.340.070.240.000.080.030.790.791.000.21-0.07-0.05-0.180.030.06-0.100.370.250.160.090.22-0.160.33-0.030.550.55-0.000.09
WYFI0.120.090.170.260.04-0.060.060.080.090.300.310.211.00-0.040.16-0.32-0.18-0.08-0.25-0.05-0.05-0.060.06-0.010.04-0.070.150.150.15-0.23-0.01
DDOG0.01-0.07-0.090.150.230.060.670.820.75-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.041.000.530.030.080.040.10-0.22-0.10-0.22-0.100.11-0.000.020.17-0.06-0.050.37-0.21
NOW0.020.07-0.030.350.08-0.010.570.460.68-0.08-0.08-0.050.160.531.00-0.04-0.09-0.04-0.26-0.200.05-0.13-0.04-0.090.150.110.370.260.250.07-0.18
GOOGL0.01-0.05-0.08-0.150.17-0.020.14-0.000.04-0.16-0.15-0.18-0.320.03-0.041.000.05-0.060.060.000.13-0.130.070.200.220.030.25-0.09-0.110.490.09
TLN0.07-0.030.070.000.270.50-0.07-0.080.020.020.020.03-0.180.08-0.090.051.000.810.42-0.110.220.240.050.40-0.12-0.060.26-0.10-0.100.38-0.06
VST0.020.130.040.040.270.33-0.01-0.090.090.060.060.06-0.080.04-0.04-0.060.811.000.44-0.080.170.220.060.25-0.170.060.210.000.010.30-0.11
VRT0.090.02-0.060.070.550.420.05-0.050.05-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.250.10-0.260.060.420.441.00-0.18-0.25-0.05-0.040.05-0.040.05-0.04-0.29-0.290.60-0.04
RKLB0.230.420.420.13-0.29-0.12-0.26-0.17-0.310.370.360.37-0.05-0.22-0.200.00-0.11-0.08-0.181.000.190.170.09-0.03-0.060.180.000.400.40-0.18-0.02
META0.030.180.220.10-0.16-0.00-0.22-0.17-0.130.170.170.25-0.05-0.100.050.130.220.17-0.250.191.000.340.080.210.160.080.290.510.51-0.140.11
EL0.250.160.330.220.010.17-0.23-0.24-0.180.030.030.16-0.06-0.22-0.13-0.130.240.22-0.050.170.341.000.130.06-0.190.00-0.020.440.45-0.110.07
CAKE0.100.370.190.020.070.02-0.16-0.14-0.170.060.060.090.06-0.10-0.040.070.050.06-0.040.090.080.131.000.51-0.020.180.330.100.110.200.24
AAL0.080.060.180.040.160.310.020.09-0.020.160.160.22-0.010.11-0.090.200.400.250.05-0.030.210.060.511.00-0.23-0.010.300.060.070.370.14
NFLX-0.19-0.03-0.18-0.060.00-0.09-0.000.050.02-0.10-0.10-0.160.04-0.000.150.22-0.12-0.17-0.04-0.060.16-0.19-0.02-0.231.000.100.060.060.06-0.010.25
SYM0.080.300.200.210.010.080.120.040.060.360.360.33-0.070.020.110.03-0.060.060.050.180.080.000.18-0.010.101.000.130.360.360.130.15
TEM-0.090.220.030.110.210.050.16-0.000.19-0.02-0.01-0.030.150.170.370.250.260.21-0.040.000.29-0.020.330.300.060.131.000.070.080.32-0.07
SPY0.430.470.640.52-0.130.14-0.010.010.070.560.560.550.15-0.060.26-0.09-0.100.00-0.290.400.510.440.100.060.060.360.071.001.00-0.120.06
VOO0.430.470.640.52-0.130.13-0.020.020.070.560.560.550.15-0.050.25-0.11-0.100.01-0.290.400.510.450.110.070.060.360.081.001.00-0.130.07
QQQ0.110.130.050.090.680.540.390.280.36-0.05-0.04-0.00-0.230.370.070.490.380.300.60-0.18-0.14-0.110.200.37-0.010.130.32-0.12-0.131.00-0.06
SCHD-0.10-0.09-0.10-0.08-0.180.09-0.13-0.05-0.220.110.110.09-0.01-0.21-0.180.09-0.06-0.11-0.04-0.020.110.070.240.140.250.15-0.070.060.07-0.061.00

Computed from each position's own YTD price history (resampled to a common daily grid), Pearson correlation of daily returns. Grouped by theme, not alphabetically, so you can see the clustering rather than have to hunt for it — notice how the semiconductor block (SNDK–ARM), the cybersecurity block (PANW–CRWD), and the AI-infrastructure block (NBIS–GOOGL) each run noticeably darker against each other than against the non-theme names (META–TEM) or the index funds (SPY–SCHD).

AEA Compute & Memory Basket

An internal tracking basket, not a holding you can buy — a way of watching the compute/memory theme underneath several positions in this book move as a single unit, the way a desk might track an unofficial internal index. Equal-weighted across four names; two are current positions, two aren't held but sit squarely in the same theme.

AEA Internal Tracking Basket

Compute & Memory Basket vs. QQQ

Equal-weighted daily return, most recent session.

NVDA not held+4.44%
TSM not held−1.04%
SNDK 7.94% of book+7.70%
MU 5.38% of book+1.48%
Basket (equal-wt.) +3.14%
QQQ +0.67%
Spread vs. QQQ +2.48 pts
NVDA and TSM are not current AEA positions — included because they're the two most obvious compute/memory bellwethers outside this book, for theme-tracking context, not because they're owned. SNDK and MU are actual positions. Daily return is open-to-close for the most recent session via Massive Market Data. An equal-weighted 4-name basket is a noisy, small sample — this is a directional theme gauge, not a constructed index with real methodology behind it.