Markets · Midday Edition

Stocks Rebound as Oil Falls; Chip Shares Extend Their Post-Fed Gains

The broad market recovered Thursday morning as oil retreated and Treasury prices rose. Semiconductors led, but the day’s strongest portfolio moves still did not share one explanation.

SPY+1.04%
QQQ+1.62%
SMH+2.71%
USO−1.38%

U.S. stocks rebounded Thursday morning as falling oil prices and less pressure from the bond market gave investors room to look past Wednesday’s Federal Reserve rate increase. At 10:25 a.m. Eastern, SPY was up 1.04%, QQQ had gained 1.62%, and the semiconductor ETF SMH was 2.71% higher. The oil fund USO fell 1.38%, while the Treasury ETF IEF rose 0.48%.

The reversal followed a difficult Fed day for the broad market. On Wednesday, the central bank raised its target range by a quarter point to 3.75%–4.00%, saying inflation remained elevated even as economic activity, domestic spending and capital investment stayed firm. Thursday’s rally did not undo that decision. It changed the market inputs surrounding it: oil moved lower, Treasury prices rose, and the volatility note VXX fell 3.88%.

A broad chip rally, not one company’s story

Semiconductor shares advanced across several parts of the supply chain. Intel rose 8.00%, Arm gained 6.65%, Micron added 5.49%, Sandisk rose 4.91%, AMD gained 4.35%, and Nvidia was up 2.65%. Intel was extending Wednesday’s move after reports that SK hynix was discussing possible U.S. memory-chip manufacturing arrangements involving Intel’s Ohio site. The talks remained reported discussions, not an announced agreement.

The rest of the group did not need that company-specific explanation to rise. A lower oil price and firmer Treasury market reduce two pressures that had weighed on long-duration growth assets earlier in the week. That macro change is consistent with a broad chip rebound; it is not proof that every company’s earnings outlook improved Thursday morning.

The portfolio’s largest move had no dated catalyst

Tempus AI was the strongest AEA holding at the snapshot, up 14.19%. I found no company release or SEC filing dated Thursday that explained the move. The correct treatment is therefore descriptive: the stock rose sharply; the cause was not established.

Other positions showed why a single “risk-on” label is incomplete. CoreWeave fell 5.19% even as most AI-linked holdings rose. Meta slipped 0.09%, and Estée Lauder fell 0.52%. CrowdStrike, Datadog and Palo Alto Networks gained, but by different amounts. The market was rewarding the theme broadly while continuing to distinguish among financing structures, business models and recent company-specific news.

At the snapshot, AEA’s 32-position book was worth approximately $33,858, up 2.30% from the September 16 marks. That is an intraday estimate, not a closing return. WhiteFiber’s line uses the latest verified September 16 close because a reliable live quote was not available in the same feed; SpaceX remains a private-company mark and is not treated as a daily exchange move.

What is known—and what is not

Known: The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00%; oil was lower Thursday morning; Treasury prices and major stock indexes were higher; semiconductor shares advanced broadly.

Not established: A company-specific cause for Tempus AI’s move, a signed Intel–SK hynix agreement, Thursday’s closing prices, or whether the rebound will survive the session.